Dictionary term
Contemporary armed conflicts
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Abstract
DEFINITION OF THE TERM: The article discusses the armed conflicts that took place in the period between the end of the Cold War (1991) and the outbreak of the war in Ukraine (2022). The author builds a chronological framework for the term ‘contemporary’ and discusses the understanding of the concept of ‘armed conflict’ that is adopted for the purposes of this text.
HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF THE TERM: Two stages in the development of conflicts in the period under discussion are distinguished, with a particular focus on the international dynamics of the various processes of armed confrontation. The first involved continuation conflicts following the collapse of the two-bloc system, while the second involved conflicts over the new world order.
DISCUSSION OF THE TERM: The author summaries conflicts in terms of the ways in which opposing forces are organised, the technological dimension of struggles, and the impact of international law on their trajectory.
SYSTEMATIC REFLECTION WITH CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS: The nature of armed conflicts will not change fundamentally in the future. Moderate and low-intensity but long-lasting operations will prevail (as the war in Ukraine seems to confirm). As a consequence of global competition, ‘proxy wars’ will take place and a technological race between the strongest states will continue, the most serious consequences of which will be the implementation of technological solutions linked to artificial intelligence.
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